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2020-06-06 03:24:45
제주도출장샵 compete 동두천출장안마 무주출장안마 shatter 울릉출장안마 vanish 군위출장샵 순창출장만남 rush 출장걸 believe 오산출장안마 철원출장샵 fail 횡성출장만남 drive 용인출장마사지 구례출장안마 allow 마사지 state 김포출장만남 화순출장안마 explore 완주출장샵 follow 제주출장마사지 진도출장마사지 salute 채팅만남 fulfil 장수출장안마 안동출장샵 resemble 시흥출장샵 speed 경산출장안마 전주출장마사지 disobey 출장마사지 ride 부산출장만남 부여출장만남 fill 부천출장샵 illustrate 양양출장샵 구미출장안마 subscribe 강남안마 illustrate 장흥출장마사지 계룡출장만남 verify 완주출장안마 moan 순창출장마사지 영양출장마사지 hypnotize 서울출장샵 convict 평창출장만남 전주출장샵 feed 의왕출장만남 inaugurate 김제출장안마 봉화출장샵 carry 타이마사지 mew 화천출장샵 임실출장샵 immure 안양출장마사지 sack 함안출장안마 의왕출장만남 impair 안마방 exclaim 금산출장만남 포항출장샵 weave 태안출장안마 endure 산청출장만남 전주출장샵 chat 안마 hew 서천출장마사지 진도출장안마 wet 진안출장샵 envy 광주출장안마 울진출장샵 perish 출장샵 wish 전주출장마사지 성주출장샵 consign 군산출장마사지 먹튀는 없습니다 안동출장샵 대구출장샵 wish 출장걸 consecrate 안동출장안마 거창출장마사지 bash 강릉출장안마 nap 목포출장만남 고흥출장샵 calculate 마사지 string 영광출장샵 안동출장마사지 inculcate 순창출장만남 saponify 양산출장안마 계룡출장마사지 rot 조건만남 view 부산출장마사지 화순출장샵 trample 칠곡출장안마 bid 정선출장마사지 포항출장샵 flop 서울출장샵 run 군산출장샵 평택출장샵 prepare 아산출장만남 mislead 영광출장안마 무주출장샵 swallow 애인대행 order 군산출장안마 남원출장만남 induce 동두천출장안마 undo 울진출장마사지 진주출장마사지 gaze 출장샵 conquer 예천출장안마 인천출장안마 confiscate 하동출장만남 deprive 영월출장안마 화성출장마사지 cook

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.