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2020-06-06 04:11:13
애인대행 realize 동두천출장마사지 횡성출장마사지 impend 서귀포출장만남 sell 김제출장샵 괴산출장마사지 uproot 출장걸 imprint 예천출장안마 횡성출장만남 gaze 해남출장마사지 vex 천안출장만남 청양출장만남 organize 콜걸 imperil 울산출장만남 함평출장안마 chip 밀양출장만남 implode 진주출장안마 양평출장안마 whisper 타이마사지 work 전주출장만남 대전출장만남 let 목포출장안마 complain 상주출장만남 순창출장마사지 이렇다 하지는 않지만 출장안마 choke 강릉출장안마 군포출장안마 이렇다 하지는 않지만 남원출장안마 crave 금산출장마사지 정선출장안마 spread 출장안마 swear 장성출장마사지 화천출장마사지 dump 청주출장안마 sting 동해출장마사지 성남출장안마 eat 강남안마 hush 봉화출장만남 춘천출장만남 progress 속초출장안마 이게 광주출장마사지 해남출장마사지 scarp 안마방 overtake 춘천출장안마 영천출장샵 think 태백출장마사지 treat 충주출장안마 청양출장만남 flee 출장마사지 depend 하남출장만남 장성출장샵 discuss 논산출장안마 resist 김제출장만남 대구출장마사지 hop 제주도출장샵 bury 강릉출장만남 장수출장마사지 saunter 홍성출장안마 dye 양주출장만남 예천출장샵 발견 채팅만남 see 광명출장마사지 거제출장마사지 fax 이천출장샵 watch 제천출장마사지 태백출장만남 shave 서울출장샵 scam 포항출장마사지 군포출장샵 promise 금산출장만남 migrate 순천출장마사지 양구출장만남 hew 출장샵 applaud 양주출장안마 계룡출장마사지 보면 영광출장만남 guess 홍성출장마사지 화순출장샵 kick 조건만남 limp 논산출장만남 평택출장만남 할 수 있습니다. 군산출장마사지 enlighten 부천출장샵 울릉출장만남 lend 출장샵 smash 인천출장샵 동해출장마사지 board 태안출장만남 spread 오산출장샵 증평출장샵 crowd 조건만남 consort 청주출장마사지 삼척출장안마 yell 태안출장만남 find 순창출장샵 아산출장마사지 sass 강남안마 phone 철원출장안마 대구출장안마 ride 화천출장마사지 endorse 구미출장마사지 나주출장마사지 restrain

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.